Statement: It has been claimed by UFO enthusiasts that mass
sightings or sightings in general are becoming more frequent and that a very
large mass sighting (possibly by a million people is due to occur soon). There
is a build-up to something big.
To determine if large mass sightings are indeed becoming
more frequent I have gathered data regarding mass sightings.
Question: Are large mass UFO sightings increasing in
frequency (are there more sightings occurring in less time)?
For my purposes I define large mass sightings as ones witnessed by over a hundred people and
those witnessed by over a thousand people.
UFO Mass Sightings info obtained from:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_major_UFO_sightings
(took only Kolkata incident from here)
Date Name Number of witnesses
June 1, 1853 Tennessee College Campus numerous (my estimate: 7-20)
April 17, 1897 Aurora, Texas citizens (my estimate
6-24)
Feb 25, 1942 Battle of Los
Angeles dozens, poss. more
Jan 7, 1948 Madisonville, Kentucky,Mantell killed
dozens
July 29, 1952 White House UFO incident dozens to a hundred?
Sept,13-25, 1952 Operation Mainbrace multiple (my
estimate: 5-25)
27 Oct, 1954 Italian Stadium 10 000
Nov 2, 1957 Levelland, Texas 15
or more
Dec 9, 1965 Kecksburg Incident numerous (estimate: 12-24)
April 6, 1966 Westfall UFO Encounter, Australia more
than 200 and prob. less than 230
April 17, 1966 Portage County
Police Chase about 12
1982-86, peak:March 24, 1983 V-shaped
lights Hudson Valley more than 300
Nov1989-April1990,peak30/31Mar1990 Belgian Wave approx. 13 500
Mar 30, 1993 The Cosford Incident hundreds
Sept 16, 1994 Ariel School, Zimbabwe 62
March 13, 1997 Phoenix Lights thousands
July 14, 2001 New Jersey Turnpike 15
Nov 7, 2006 Chicago O’Hare hundreds
29 Oct, 2007
Kolkata,India
hundreds
Jan 8, 2008 The Stephensville Lights 40
Large Mass Sightings (all over 1000 people):
27 Oct, 1954 Italian Stadium 10 000
Nov1989-April1990,peak30/31Mar1990 Belgian Wave approx. 13 500
March 13, 1997 Phoenix
Lights thousands
Interval between 1st
and 2nd sighting is 36 years.
Interval between 2nd
and 3rd sighting is 7 years.
I reckon, there’s not enough
data to establish an escalating number of large mass sightings. If a 4th
sighting occurs in less than 7 years, let’s say in 4 years’ time then perhaps
that would indicate an escalation in frequency?
Large Mass Sightings (all over a hundred people):
27 Oct, 1954 Italian Stadium 10
000
April 6, 1966 Westfall UFO
Encounter, Australia more than 200 prob. less than 230
1982-86, peak:March 24, 1983
V-shaped lights Hudson
Valley more
than 300
Nov1989-April1990,peak30/31Mar1990 Belgian Wave approx.
13 500
Mar 30, 1993 The Cosford Incident hundreds
March 13, 1997 Phoenix Lights thousands
Nov 7, 2006 Chicago O’Hare hundreds
29 Oct, 2007 Kolkata,India hundreds
Intervals between incidents in
years: 12, 17, 7, 3, 4, 9, 1
Frequency fluctuates. It goes
up and down. Conclusion: No escalation.
Conclusions:
There may be more UFO
sightings of all kinds* (i.e. by single individuals, small numbers as well as
larger numbers of people) than ever before but how many of these are credible, and
do not involve hoaxes? Of the large mass sightings how many can be discounted
due to hoaxes or other explainable phenomena? The statement made that the UFO
phenomenon shows that there is going to be something really big on the horizon
is not well-founded according to this study done here.
However, looking at the data
from another point of view, it can be readily seen that from 1954 onwards some
very large mass sightings have occurred. I would say these are the largest mass
sightings in human history (as far as we know), and they all occurred in the
space of only 43 years (1997-1954=43), as opposed to all the millennia that
have gone before. So, from that point of view, the really big UFO events have
already manifested themselves.
* http://chateaudifpress.com/prisoners-testimony/weekly-columnists/arraiel/ufosightingsincrease
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